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Research and Policy Papers:
Kenya: A nation fragmented (Tuesday, 5th February 2008)
Kenya is effectively partitioned by criminal and ethnic violence, triggered by the December 27th presidential ballot. The unrest threatens Kenya's cohesion as a nation state, with sever consequences for its landlocked neighbours and the East African region. Evidence of vote-rigging has reinforced claims that the presidency was stolen by incumbent Mwai Kibaki, but the roots of the conflict lie in longstanding disputes over land and other resources. The systemic failure of Kenyan institutions to address these grievances will not be diffused by a negotiated settlement between politicians in Nairobi.
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South Africa: The Brazil of Africa - Briefing Note (Thursday, 20th December 2007)
This briefing note compares economic and social policy in South Africa with Brazil. It argues that South Africa has followed a trajectory similar in many respects to Brazil, the dominant economy in South America. But the comparison highlights weaknesses in Pretoria and the ANC.
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Making fertiliser subsidies work in Malawi - Briefing Note (Saturday, 15th December 2007)
This briefing note highlights the role of fertiliser subsidies in Malawi, the world's fifth poorest country. Malawi has suffered recurrent poor harvests, with disastrous consequences for food security since the early 1990s. Yields have improved significantly in the past two years, helped by a government subsidy scheme that has improved access to fertiliser by smallholder farmers.
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Keeping the peace in D.R. Congo (DRC) - Briefing Note (Monday, 10th December 2007)
This briefing note arues that the United Nations has no option but to extend the role of MONUC when its current mandate is reviewed in December 2007, as recommended by UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon. The international community is counting on Security Sector Reform (SSR) to ease its withdrawal from Congo, but the timeframe must take account of the situation on the ground.
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Sleights of hand at Lancaster House (Thursday, 1st November 2007)
An interview with the former secretary-general of the Commonwealth Sir Sonny Ramphal
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Prospects for Change in Zimbabwe - Briefing Note (Thursday, 19th July 2007)
A short briefing note on the current situation in Zimbabwe that has been sent to all members of parliament with an active interest in Africa. It argues that in developing a practical response to the crisis in Zimbabwe, British policy-makers must recognise the realistic prospect of continued deterioration and the entrenched obstacles to recovery.
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